Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Erin Blanchfield vs Tracy Cortez
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Erin Blanchfield
Tracy Cortez
73%
27%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
26
Age
Δ 5y
32
15-2
Career record
Δ 7 pp
13-3
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Blanchfield: 52 sig / 2 TD ·
Cortez: 46 sig / 1 TD
Erin Blanchfield
Tracy Cortez
62
Sig strikes landed
62
137
Sig strikes attempted
140
100
Total strikes landed
91
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
5.7
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
258s
Control time
154s
Method
Decision
82%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Erin Blanchfield
"Cold Blooded"
15-2
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
Blue corner
W1
Tracy Cortez
13-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—