Main
Welterweight
Sean Brady vs Michael Morales
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Sean Brady
Michael Morales
43%
57%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 7"
79"
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
20-2
Career record
Δ 9 pp
20-0
W3
Current streak
W6
9
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Brady: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Morales: 24 sig / 0 TD
Sean Brady
Michael Morales
59
Sig strikes landed
65
121
Sig strikes attempted
114
82
Total strikes landed
87
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.4
6.0
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
172s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Sean Brady
20-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 8-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
Blue corner
W6
Michael Morales
20-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Mora…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—