🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Flyweight
Valentina Shevchenko vs Zhang Weili
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Valentina Shevchenko
Zhang Weili
63%
37%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
38
Age
Δ 1y
36
27-4-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
27-4
W2
Current streak
W5
18
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Shevchenko: 41 sig / 5 TD ·
Weili: 32 sig / 0 TD
Valentina Shevchenko
Zhang Weili
69
Sig strikes landed
64
145
Sig strikes attempted
116
114
Total strikes landed
113
2.4
Takedowns landed
1.9
4.9
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
215s
Control time
204s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
27-4-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
18 fights · 14-3
Last 5
W
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
—
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
L
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
Blue corner
W5
Zhang Weili
"Magnum"
27-4
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database
12 fights · 10-2
Last 5
W
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—