Prelims1
Middleweight
Bo Nickal vs Rodolfo Vieira
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bo Nickal
Rodolfo Vieira
68%
32%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
30
Age
Δ 6y
36
8-2
Career record
Δ 9 pp
12-5
L1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Nickal: 77 sig / 2 TD ·
Vieira: 24 sig / 0 TD
Bo Nickal
Rodolfo Vieira
25
Sig strikes landed
18
46
Sig strikes attempted
30
41
Total strikes landed
34
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
144s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
40%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Bo Nickal
8-2
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W1
Rodolfo Vieira
12-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—