Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kurtis Campbell
Demba Seck
69%
31%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
23
Age
Δ 9y
32
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Campbell: 7 sig / 2 TD ·
Seck: 2 sig / 0 TD
Kurtis Campbell
Demba Seck
34
Sig strikes landed
35
70
Sig strikes attempted
75
49
Total strikes landed
54
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
162s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Kurtis Campbell
"The Pink Panther"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
23
Blue corner
Demba Seck
"Black Tiger"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32