Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Justice Torres
Javier Reyes
62%
38%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
73"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Torres: 2 sig / 1 TD ·
Reyes: 21 sig / 0 TD
Justice Torres
Javier Reyes
44
Sig strikes landed
52
96
Sig strikes attempted
104
59
Total strikes landed
71
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
99s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Justice Torres
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
Blue corner
Javier Reyes
"Blair"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Age
32