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Main Featherweight

Brahyam Zurcher vs Murtazali Magomedov

DWCS 9.7 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Brahyam Zurcher
Murtazali Magomedov
48% 52%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
30
Age
Δ 3y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Zurcher: 3 sig / 0 TD · Magomedov: 9 sig / 0 TD
Brahyam Zurcher
Murtazali Magomedov
35
Sig strikes landed
36
74
Sig strikes attempted
75
52
Total strikes landed
77
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
128s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Brahyam Zurcher

"El Jarretas"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Murtazali Magomedov

"The Highlight"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26