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Main Middleweight

In Su Hwang vs Paddy McCorry

DWCS 9.6 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
In Su Hwang
Paddy McCorry
52% 48%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hwang: 37 sig / 0 TD · McCorry: 93 sig / 1 TD
In Su Hwang
Paddy McCorry
32
Sig strikes landed
35
67
Sig strikes attempted
74
46
Total strikes landed
48
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
123s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

In Su Hwang

"Legendary"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner

Paddy McCorry

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
28