Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cam Teague
Lerryan Douglas
56%
44%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
28
Age
Δ 3y
30
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Teague: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Douglas: 7 sig / 0 TD
Cam Teague
Lerryan Douglas
28
Sig strikes landed
40
69
Sig strikes attempted
82
44
Total strikes landed
57
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
99s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cam Teague
"Chaos"
9-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 8.7
—
Blue corner
Lerryan Douglas
"Gunslinger"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30