Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ricardo Ramos
Kaan Ofli
63%
37%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 6"
66"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
17-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-5-1
L1
Current streak
L2
14
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ramos: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Ofli: 1 sig / 1 TD
Ricardo Ramos
Kaan Ofli
38
Sig strikes landed
30
80
Sig strikes attempted
65
57
Total strikes landed
44
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
112s
Control time
174s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ricardo Ramos
17-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
—
W
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
Blue corner
L2
Kaan Ofli
"Genghis"
14-5-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—