Prelims1
Heavyweight
Vitor Petrino vs Thomas Petersen
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
·Farmasi Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vitor Petrino
Thomas Petersen
74%
26%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
15-2
Career record
Δ 13 pp
12-4
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Petrino: 31 sig / 1 TD ·
Petersen: 16 sig / 0 TD
Vitor Petrino
Thomas Petersen
27
Sig strikes landed
28
54
Sig strikes attempted
47
55
Total strikes landed
46
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
258s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Vitor Petrino
15-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
Blue corner
W1
Thomas Petersen
"The Train"
12-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—