Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
An Tuan Ho
Eduardo Chapolin
42%
58%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
67"
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ho: 24 sig / 2 TD ·
Chapolin: 37 sig / 5 TD
An Tuan Ho
Eduardo Chapolin
24
Sig strikes landed
41
60
Sig strikes attempted
71
35
Total strikes landed
61
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
97s
Control time
176s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
An Tuan Ho
"Highlight"
6-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 8.1
—
Blue corner
Eduardo Chapolin
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30