Back to UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen ·Rogers Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Stephanie Luciano
Ravena Oliveira
68% 32%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
65"
26
Age
Δ 3y
29
7-3-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
7-5-1
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Luciano: 60 sig / 3 TD · Oliveira: 24 sig / 0 TD
Stephanie Luciano
Ravena Oliveira
48
Sig strikes landed
46
112
Sig strikes attempted
96
71
Total strikes landed
79
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
153s
Control time
241s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Stephanie Luciano

"Rondinha"
7-3-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
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W UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
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Blue corner
L1

Ravena Oliveira

"Kenoudy"
7-5-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
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