Back to UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Prelims1 Middleweight

Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen ·Rogers Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Azamat Bekoev
Yousri Belgaroui
76% 24%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 7"
79"
30
Age
Δ 4y
33
W2
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Bekoev: 24 sig / 4 TD · Belgaroui: 102 sig / 1 TD
Azamat Bekoev
Yousri Belgaroui
29
Sig strikes landed
17
56
Sig strikes attempted
44
46
Total strikes landed
29
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
174s
Control time
44s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Azamat Bekoev

"Iron"
21-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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W UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
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Blue corner

Yousri Belgaroui

0-0
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33