Back to UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Prelims1 Middleweight

Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen ·Rogers Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Danny Barlow
Djorden Santos
50% 50%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
9-3
Career record
Δ 2 pp
11-4
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barlow: 93 sig / 0 TD · Santos: 99 sig / 0 TD
Danny Barlow
Djorden Santos
84
Sig strikes landed
59
195
Sig strikes attempted
125
94
Total strikes landed
79
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
55s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Danny Barlow

"LeftHand2God"
9-3
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
W UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
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Blue corner
L1

Djorden Santos

"Shakur"
11-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
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