Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Kevin Holland
Mike Malott
66%
34%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 8"
73"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
29-16
Career record
Δ 19 pp
15-2-1
L1
Current streak
W2
27
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Holland: 52 sig / 1 TD ·
Malott: 49 sig / 1 TD
Kevin Holland
Mike Malott
49
Sig strikes landed
42
102
Sig strikes attempted
71
67
Total strikes landed
54
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
78s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
27 fights · 15-11
Last 5
L
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
W
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
L
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
L
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
Blue corner
W2
Mike Malott
"Proper"
15-2-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—