Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valter Walker
Louie Sutherland
79%
21%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
W3
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Walker: 5 sig / 1 TD ·
Sutherland: 3 sig / 0 TD
Valter Walker
Louie Sutherland
27
Sig strikes landed
18
51
Sig strikes attempted
31
46
Total strikes landed
31
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.0
3.4
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
264s
Control time
35s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Valter Walker
"The Clean Monster"
16-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
Blue corner
Louie Sutherland
"Vanilla Gorilla"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32