Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Nathaniel Wood
Jose Delgado
66%
34%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
32
Age
Δ 5y
28
24-6
Career record
Δ 6 pp
12-2
W2
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wood: 99 sig / 2 TD ·
Delgado: 134 sig / 0 TD
Nathaniel Wood
Jose Delgado
44
Sig strikes landed
44
67
Sig strikes attempted
97
54
Total strikes landed
43
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
156s
Control time
21s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Nathaniel Wood
"The Last Kingsman"
24-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
W
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
L
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
Blue corner
W2
Jose Delgado
12-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—