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Prelims1 Lightweight

Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rebecki

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ludovit Klein
Mateusz Rebecki
74% 26%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 6"
66"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
24-6-1
Career record
Δ 0 pp
20-6
L1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Klein: 82 sig / 0 TD · Rebecki: 72 sig / 3 TD
Ludovit Klein
Mateusz Rebecki
60
Sig strikes landed
46
137
Sig strikes attempted
110
82
Total strikes landed
67
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.7
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
182s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ludovit Klein

"Mr. Highlight"
24-6-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 11 fights · 7-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
W UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
Blue corner
L1

Mateusz Rebecki

20-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
W UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
W UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…