Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Hamdy Abdelwahab
Chris Barnett
44%
56%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
33
Age
Δ 7y
39
7-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
23-11
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Abdelwahab: 99 sig / 9 TD ·
Barnett: 18 sig / 0 TD
Hamdy Abdelwahab
Chris Barnett
40
Sig strikes landed
38
76
Sig strikes attempted
70
48
Total strikes landed
53
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.2
0.2
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
102s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
68%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Hamdy Abdelwahab
"The Hammer"
7-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
Blue corner
L1
Chris Barnett
"Beastboy"
23-11
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—