Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ikram Aliskerov
JunYong Park
66%
34%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
33
Age
Δ 2y
35
18-2
Career record
Δ 16 pp
20-7
W1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Aliskerov: 91 sig / 5 TD ·
Park: 78 sig / 0 TD
Ikram Aliskerov
JunYong Park
41
Sig strikes landed
46
84
Sig strikes attempted
85
45
Total strikes landed
52
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.5
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
28s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ikram Aliskerov
18-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
Blue corner
W2
JunYong Park
"The Iron Turtle"
20-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
—