Main
Light Heavyweight
Aleksandar Rakic vs Azamat Murzakanov
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Aleksandar Rakic
Azamat Murzakanov
45%
55%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
34
Age
Δ 3y
36
14-7
Career record
Δ 28 pp
17-1
L3
Current streak
W5
10
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rakic: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Murzakanov: 3 sig / 0 TD
Aleksandar Rakic
Azamat Murzakanov
49
Sig strikes landed
53
110
Sig strikes attempted
97
58
Total strikes landed
66
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
84s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Aleksandar Rakic
"Rocket"
14-7
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
L
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
Blue corner
W5
Azamat Murzakanov
"The Professional"
17-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—