Back to UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Prelims2 Welterweight

Ramiz Brahimaj vs Austin Vanderford

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Ramiz Brahimaj
Austin Vanderford
42% 58%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
14-6
Career record
Δ 12 pp
14-3
W2
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Brahimaj: 21 sig / 0 TD · Vanderford: 5 sig / 3 TD
Ramiz Brahimaj
Austin Vanderford
20
Sig strikes landed
29
39
Sig strikes attempted
47
34
Total strikes landed
42
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
118s
Control time
295s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
51%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Ramiz Brahimaj

14-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
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W UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
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L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
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W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
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Blue corner
W1

Austin Vanderford

"The Gentleman"
14-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
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