Prelims2
Women's Flyweight
Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Veronica Hardy
Brogan Walker
74%
26%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
30
Age
Δ 7y
37
10-6-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
8-6
L1
Current streak
L2
9
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hardy: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Walker: 22 sig / 3 TD
Veronica Hardy
Brogan Walker
47
Sig strikes landed
33
98
Sig strikes attempted
86
79
Total strikes landed
58
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
163s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Veronica Hardy
10-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
Blue corner
L2
Brogan Walker
"The Bear"
8-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
37
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—