Prelims2
Bantamweight
Chris Gutierrez vs Farid Basharat
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Chris Gutierrez
Farid Basharat
38%
62%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
23-7-2
Career record
Δ 28 pp
16-0
W2
Current streak
W4
14
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gutierrez: 31 sig / 1 TD ·
Basharat: 41 sig / 2 TD
Chris Gutierrez
Farid Basharat
57
Sig strikes landed
59
112
Sig strikes attempted
111
69
Total strikes landed
107
-0.1
Takedowns landed
3.2
0.0
Takedowns attempted
6.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
24s
Control time
270s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
23-7-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
14 fights · 10-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
Blue corner
W4
Farid Basharat
"Ferocious"
16-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—