Back to UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Main Light Heavyweight

Jiri Prochazka vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jiri Prochazka
Khalil Rountree Jr.
92% 8%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
33-6-1
Career record
Δ 13 pp
16-7
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
17

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Prochazka: 71 sig / 0 TD · Rountree Jr.: 66 sig / 0 TD
Jiri Prochazka
Khalil Rountree Jr.
63
Sig strikes landed
43
114
Sig strikes attempted
95
76
Total strikes landed
45
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
60s
Control time
39s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Jiri Prochazka

33-6-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
L UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
W UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
L UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
W UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
Blue corner
W1

Khalil Rountree Jr.

16-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database 17 fights · 10-6
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
L UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…