🏆 Title fight
Main
Bantamweight
Merab Dvalishvili vs Cory Sandhagen
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Merab Dvalishvili
Cory Sandhagen
68%
32%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
35
Age
Δ 1y
34
22-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-6
W8
Current streak
W1
15
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Dvalishvili: 114 sig / 20 TD ·
Sandhagen: 80 sig / 0 TD
Merab Dvalishvili
Cory Sandhagen
79
Sig strikes landed
71
166
Sig strikes attempted
178
120
Total strikes landed
91
2.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
8.0
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
252s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Merab Dvalishvili
"The Machine"
22-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
15 fights · 13-2
Last 5
W
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
Blue corner
W1
Cory Sandhagen
19-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
15 fights · 11-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—