Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cam Rowston
Andre Petroski
73%
27%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 5"
73"
31
Age
Δ 4y
34
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rowston: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Petroski: 7 sig / 0 TD
Cam Rowston
Andre Petroski
37
Sig strikes landed
31
75
Sig strikes attempted
59
56
Total strikes landed
50
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.6
1.2
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
101s
Control time
248s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Cam Rowston
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
L1
Andre Petroski
13-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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W
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
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L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
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