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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Navajo Stirling vs Rodolfo Bellato

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes ·RAC Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Navajo Stirling
Rodolfo Bellato
56% 44%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
10-0
Career record
Δ 24 pp
13-3-1
W2
Current streak
D1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stirling: 81 sig / 1 TD · Bellato: 43 sig / 2 TD
Navajo Stirling
Rodolfo Bellato
76
Sig strikes landed
56
146
Sig strikes attempted
130
105
Total strikes landed
70
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.8
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
105s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Navajo Stirling

10-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
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Blue corner
D1

Rodolfo Bellato

"Trator"
13-3-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 1-0
Last 2
D UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
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