Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jack Jenkins
Ramon Taveras
73%
27%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
14-5
Career record
Δ 7 pp
10-5
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jenkins: 65 sig / 3 TD ·
Taveras: 43 sig / 0 TD
Jack Jenkins
Ramon Taveras
64
Sig strikes landed
56
132
Sig strikes attempted
133
78
Total strikes landed
58
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
144s
Control time
6s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jack Jenkins
"Phar"
14-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
—
W
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
Blue corner
L1
Ramon Taveras
"The Savage"
10-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—