Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Agulali
Namsrai Batbayar
63%
37%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
20
Age
Δ 4y
25
14-2
Career record
Δ 4 pp
11-1
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Agulali: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Batbayar: 16 sig / 0 TD
Agulali
Namsrai Batbayar
30
Sig strikes landed
17
66
Sig strikes attempted
44
32
Total strikes landed
25
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
75s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
18%
KO/TKO
63%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Agulali
14-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
20
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 4.1 + 4.2
—
Blue corner
W1
Namsrai Batbayar
"Steppe Warrior"
11-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 4.1 + 4.2
—