Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Dom Mar Fan
JaeHyun Park
63%
37%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
25
Age
Δ 2y
24
10-3
Career record
Δ 8 pp
9-4
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mar Fan: 29 sig / 3 TD ·
Park: 4 sig / 4 TD
Dom Mar Fan
JaeHyun Park
30
Sig strikes landed
21
61
Sig strikes attempted
43
56
Total strikes landed
37
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.4
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
212s
Control time
193s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
44%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dom Mar Fan
"Street Buddha"
10-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 4.3 + 4.4
—
Blue corner
W1
JaeHyun Park
"The First Prospect"
9-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
Road to UFC 4.3 + 4.4
—
L
Road to UFC 2.5 + 2.6
—