Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Baisangur Susurkaev
Murtaza Talha
80%
20%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Susurkaev: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Talha: 7 sig / 0 TD
Baisangur Susurkaev
Murtaza Talha
48
Sig strikes landed
42
89
Sig strikes attempted
78
89
Total strikes landed
41
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
169s
Control time
31s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Baisangur Susurkaev
"The Real Hunter"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
L1
Murtaza Talha
7-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 7.9
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