Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
George Mangos
Radley Da Silva
70%
30%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
22
Age
Δ 8y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mangos: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Da Silva: 4 sig / 6 TD
George Mangos
Radley Da Silva
37
Sig strikes landed
38
76
Sig strikes attempted
73
54
Total strikes landed
52
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
144s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
George Mangos
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
22
Blue corner
Radley Da Silva
"Snake Eyes"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30