Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bolaji Oki
Mason Jones
31%
69%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
30
Age
Δ 1y
30
11-4
Career record
Δ 17 pp
19-2
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Oki: 38 sig / 0 TD ·
Jones: 57 sig / 2 TD
Bolaji Oki
Mason Jones
63
Sig strikes landed
72
148
Sig strikes attempted
154
71
Total strikes landed
87
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.6
1.2
Takedowns attempted
6.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
35s
Control time
261s
Method
Decision
81%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Bolaji Oki
"The Zulu Warrior"
11-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Mason Jones
"The Dragon"
19-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—