Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Axel Sola
Rhys McKee
66%
34%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Sola: 45 sig / 1 TD ·
McKee: 33 sig / 0 TD
Axel Sola
Rhys McKee
47
Sig strikes landed
48
97
Sig strikes attempted
107
59
Total strikes landed
63
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
135s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Axel Sola
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
Blue corner
W1
Rhys McKee
"Skeletor"
15-7-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
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UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
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L
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—