Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Marcin Tybura
Ante Delija
45%
55%
Why
78"
Reach
78"
40
Age
Δ 5y
35
W2
Current streak
—
22
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Tybura: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Delija: 13 sig / 0 TD
Marcin Tybura
Ante Delija
39
Sig strikes landed
46
69
Sig strikes attempted
87
63
Total strikes landed
56
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.9
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
179s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
28-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
22 fights · 14-8
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
W
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
Blue corner
Ante Delija
"Walking Trouble"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35