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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Oumar Sy vs Brendson Ribeiro

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Oumar Sy
Brendson Ribeiro
68% 32%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 2"
81"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
12-3
Career record
Δ 19 pp
17-11
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Sy: 17 sig / 2 TD · Ribeiro: 5 sig / 0 TD
Oumar Sy
Brendson Ribeiro
34
Sig strikes landed
29
74
Sig strikes attempted
63
54
Total strikes landed
35
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.7
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
180s
Control time
50s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Oumar Sy

12-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
83"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
W UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
Blue corner
L1

Brendson Ribeiro

"The Gorilla"
17-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
W UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
W UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
L UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
L UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria