Main
Middleweight
Eryk Anders vs Christian Leroy Duncan
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Eryk Anders
Christian Leroy Duncan
41%
59%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
79"
38
Age
Δ 8y
30
19-9
Career record
Δ 20 pp
15-2
W2
Current streak
W1
18
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Anders: 7 sig / 1 TD ·
Duncan: 24 sig / 0 TD
Eryk Anders
Christian Leroy Duncan
48
Sig strikes landed
55
97
Sig strikes attempted
104
65
Total strikes landed
71
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
161s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
19-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
18 fights · 9-8
Last 5
W
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
Blue corner
W1
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
15-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—