Back to UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Main Welterweight

Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang ·Shanghai Indoor Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Taiyilake Nueraji
Kiefer Crosbie
88% 12%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
25
Age
Δ 11y
35
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nueraji: 27 sig / 1 TD · Crosbie: 2 sig / 0 TD
Taiyilake Nueraji
Kiefer Crosbie
35
Sig strikes landed
24
64
Sig strikes attempted
41
55
Total strikes landed
34
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
171s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Taiyilake Nueraji

"Super Saiyan"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
Blue corner
L2

Kiefer Crosbie

"BDK"
10-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
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L UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
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