Back to UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Prelims1 Lightweight

Maheshate vs Gauge Young

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang ·Shanghai Indoor Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Maheshate
Gauge Young
48% 52%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
26
Age
Δ 1y
25
10-6
Career record
Δ 11 pp
11-4
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Maheshate: 66 sig / 0 TD · Young: 112 sig / 3 TD
Maheshate
Gauge Young
71
Sig strikes landed
57
166
Sig strikes attempted
136
87
Total strikes landed
65
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
72s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Maheshate

10-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
Blue corner
L1

Gauge Young

"Gee Money"
11-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—