Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sumudaerji
Kevin Borjas
73%
27%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
20-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
11-5
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sumudaerji: 73 sig / 0 TD ·
Borjas: 16 sig / 0 TD
Sumudaerji
Kevin Borjas
62
Sig strikes landed
46
136
Sig strikes attempted
106
71
Total strikes landed
58
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
128s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sumudaerji
"The Tibetan Eagle"
20-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
Blue corner
W1
Kevin Borjas
"El Gallo Negro"
11-5
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
—
L
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—