Back to UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Prelims1 Lightweight

Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang ·Shanghai Indoor Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Rongzhu
Austin Hubbard
92% 8%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
26
Age
Δ 8y
34
29-6
Career record
Δ 22 pp
17-11
W1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
11

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rongzhu: 101 sig / 0 TD · Hubbard: 75 sig / 2 TD
Rongzhu
Austin Hubbard
67
Sig strikes landed
50
139
Sig strikes attempted
128
92
Total strikes landed
67
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
128s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Rongzhu

29-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
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L UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
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L UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
L UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
Blue corner
L2

Austin Hubbard

"Thud"
17-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 11 fights · 4-7
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
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L UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
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W UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
L UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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