Prelims1
Middleweight
Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
·Shanghai Indoor Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Michel Pereira
Kyle Daukaus
66%
34%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
32
Age
Δ 1y
32
32-15
Career record
Δ 9 pp
17-5
L2
Current streak
L2
13
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pereira: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Daukaus: 5 sig / 0 TD
Michel Pereira
Kyle Daukaus
46
Sig strikes landed
33
91
Sig strikes attempted
79
59
Total strikes landed
44
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.0
Takedowns attempted
6.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
69s
Control time
214s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
32-15
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
Blue corner
L2
Kyle Daukaus
17-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—