Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rob Font
David Martinez
39%
61%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
38
Age
Δ 11y
27
23-10
Career record
Δ 24 pp
15-1
W2
Current streak
W1
19
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Font: 49 sig / 0 TD ·
Martinez: 62 sig / 0 TD
Rob Font
David Martinez
54
Sig strikes landed
54
95
Sig strikes attempted
108
49
Total strikes landed
59
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.9
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
34s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rob Font
23-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
19 fights · 12-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
Blue corner
W1
David Martinez
15-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
—