Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Diego Lopes
Jean Silva
66%
34%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
27-9
Career record
Δ 11 pp
18-3
L1
Current streak
W5
7
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Lopes: 74 sig / 3 TD ·
Silva: 43 sig / 0 TD
Diego Lopes
Jean Silva
42
Sig strikes landed
40
95
Sig strikes attempted
84
46
Total strikes landed
44
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
68s
Control time
34s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Diego Lopes
27-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
Blue corner
W5
Jean Silva
"Lord"
18-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—