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Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Montse Rendon vs Alice Pereira

UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva ·Frost Bank Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Montse Rendon
Alice Pereira
28% 72%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
36
Age
Δ 17y
20
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Rendon: 45 sig / 0 TD · Pereira: 37 sig / 0 TD
Montse Rendon
Alice Pereira
53
Sig strikes landed
65
131
Sig strikes attempted
129
77
Total strikes landed
99
1.5
Takedowns landed
4.1
3.0
Takedowns attempted
4.9
-0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
343s
Control time
238s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Montse Rendon

"Monster"
7-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
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W UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
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Blue corner

Alice Pereira

"Golden Girl"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
20