Back to UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
Prelims1 Welterweight

Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko

UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva ·Frost Bank Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Rodrigo Sezinando
Daniil Donchenko
40% 60%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
28
Age
Δ 4y
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Sezinando: 10 sig / 1 TD · Donchenko: 39 sig / 1 TD
Rodrigo Sezinando
Daniil Donchenko
33
Sig strikes landed
38
71
Sig strikes attempted
78
46
Total strikes landed
57
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
105s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Rodrigo Sezinando

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Daniil Donchenko

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24