Prelims1
Middleweight
Zach Reese vs Sedriques Dumas
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Zach Reese
Sedriques Dumas
57%
43%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
79"
32
Age
Δ 1y
30
11-3
Career record
Δ 16 pp
10-6
W1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 1
Reese: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Dumas: 3 sig / 0 TD
Zach Reese
Sedriques Dumas
26
Sig strikes landed
23
50
Sig strikes attempted
48
46
Total strikes landed
41
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
107s
Control time
217s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Zach Reese
"Savage"
11-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
Blue corner
L1
Sedriques Dumas
"The Reaper"
10-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—