Prelims1
Lightweight
Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Claudio Puelles
Joaquim Silva
75%
25%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
29
Age
Δ 7y
37
13-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-7
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Puelles: 21 sig / 4 TD ·
Silva: 25 sig / 0 TD
Claudio Puelles
Joaquim Silva
32
Sig strikes landed
29
81
Sig strikes attempted
53
56
Total strikes landed
39
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.4
Takedowns attempted
0.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
253s
Control time
59s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Claudio Puelles
"Prince of Peru"
13-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
L
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
L1
Joaquim Silva
"Netto BJJ"
14-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—